Analysis is not an invitation.
The desk publishes opinions about numbers. It is not a sportsbook, it does not take bets, and it does not know your finances. If a pick is useful to you, it is useful only at a stake you can lose without changing anything about your life.
One percent a unit
The desk stakes in units because it keeps the maths honest. If one unit is more than one percent of what you can comfortably lose, your unit is too big — not the pick.
Set the limit before kickoff
Decide the week's maximum before the first game, not after the third loss. A limit you set in the moment is not a limit, it is a mood.
Never chase a drawdown
Doubling up to get even is the fastest way to turn a bad week into a bad season. The desk's own worst run this year was five losses; the response was smaller stakes.
Stop at the number you chose
Time limits and deposit limits exist for a reason. Use them, and treat them as final rather than negotiable.
- Betting with money set aside for rent, bills or family
- Chasing losses with larger stakes
- Hiding how much you play, or lying about it
- Feeling unable to stop once you have started
- Borrowing money to keep playing
If it stops being a hobby
Help is free and confidential. In the United States, the National Problem Gambling Helpline is 1-800-522-4700, available 24 hours a day. Gamblers Anonymous runs meetings in most cities, and most regulated operators offer deposit and self-exclusion limits on request.
Outside the US, search for your national gambling support service — most countries fund one.
Lunaris publishes analysis and opinion only. It is not a sportsbook, does not accept wagers and does not guarantee any outcome. If you choose to play, you do so at lunaris.casino under their terms, and only if you are of legal age in your jurisdiction.