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Cincinnati @ Baltimore

A divisional favorite with a healthy offensive line and a defense that stops the run.

The play

Baltimore -6.5

Market

Spread

Stake

2u · +1.82 to win

The narrative

Baltimore has won five of six against the spread coming off a loss, and this is the healthiest its line has been since September. Cincinnati is 29th in yards per carry allowed and has allowed a 100-yard rusher in four of its last six. The spread asks Baltimore to win by a touchdown against a team that has scored 17 or fewer in three of five, which is a fair ask.

The metrics behind it
  • Baltimore: 5-1 ATS off a loss since 2024
  • Cincinnati allowing 4.9 yards per carry (29th)
  • Ravens 23-9 straight up at home in November
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