Detroit @ Philadelphia
Graded. A short line on the better team by DVOA.
The play
Detroit +1.5
Market
Spread
Stake
2u · +1.82 to win
Philadelphia's offense had scored 20 or fewer in three of four, and Detroit's defensive front was generating pressure without blitzing. Taking the underdog with the better offensive line in a one-possession game is the shape of bet the desk wants all season.
- Detroit pressure rate 34.8% without blitzing
- Philadelphia 2-5 ATS as a home favorite in 2026
- Closed at Philadelphia -2, a full half-point of closing value
Settled
Detroit 27, Philadelphia 24. Covered by 4.5 and won outright.
Oklahoma City @ Minnesota
The play
Oklahoma City -4.5
Price
-108
Minnesota's half-court offense is the worst matchup problem on the board.
Kansas City @ Buffalo
The play
Under 48.5
Price
-112
Two top-five pressure rates, two quarterbacks playing through ankle tags.
Georgia @ Tennessee
The play
Tennessee +3
Price
-115
A number built on reputation, not on the last six weeks of tape.