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Alabama @ LSU

Graded. A night game in Baton Rouge, and the number still held.

The play

Alabama -7

Market

Spread

Stake

2u · +1.82 to win

The narrative

LSU had allowed 5.4 yards per carry in its previous four games, and Alabama's offense was finally healthy at receiver. The market was slow to move off the preseason number, and the line closed half a point higher than we took it.

The metrics behind it
  • LSU allowing 5.4 yards per carry over its last four
  • Alabama 8-3 ATS in SEC road games since 2023
  • Closed at -7.5: beat the close by half a point

Settled

Alabama 31, LSU 20. Covered by 4.

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