All picks
NBALostWed 7:30 PM ET
New York @ Miami
Graded. The read was wrong; the process was not reckless.
The play
Miami -3
Market
Spread
Stake
2u · +1.85 to win
The narrative
Miami had covered six straight at home and New York was playing its fourth game in six nights. The rest edge never showed up: New York shot 42% from three and Miami's bench was outscored by 14.
The metrics behind it
- Miami had covered six straight at home
- Rest edge: two days against a fourth game in six nights
- Result: bench points 38-24 in favor of New York
Settled
New York won outright 112-104. Full loss.
Other open positions
NBAFri 8:00 PM ET
Oklahoma City @ Minnesota
The play
Oklahoma City -4.5
Price
-108
Minnesota's half-court offense is the worst matchup problem on the board.
3u stake · edge 1.7Dossier
NFLSun 4:25 PM ET
Kansas City @ Buffalo
The play
Under 48.5
Price
-112
Two top-five pressure rates, two quarterbacks playing through ankle tags.
3u stake · edge 1.8Dossier
NCAAFSat 7:30 PM ET
Georgia @ Tennessee
The play
Tennessee +3
Price
-115
A number built on reputation, not on the last six weeks of tape.
2u stake · edge 1.9Dossier