Every pick, priced and reasoned.
One to three units on everything. Published before kickoff at the number we took, then graded against the close. Nothing is removed after the fact, including the bad weeks.
- Open positions
- 2
- Graded
- 412
- ATS win rate
- 58.7%
- Units
- +38.2
Open cards
Oklahoma City @ Minnesota
Oklahoma City -4.5
Minnesota's half-court offense is the worst matchup problem on the board.
Price
-108
Stake
3u
+2.78 to win
Edge
+1.7
Boston @ Denver
Boston +1
Small edge, small stake. Denver's altitude is priced in, its rotation is not.
Price
-112
Stake
2u
+1.79 to win
Edge
+0.9
Recently graded
Settled at the number published, with the closing line noted beside it. Where we beat the close, that is the part of the process worth trusting — not the final score.
Miami -3 · New York @ Miami
New York won outright 112-104. Full loss.
Took
-108
Close
Miami -3.5
Phoenix -2.5 · Golden State @ Phoenix
Phoenix won by 3. Push at 2.5; would have lost at the closing number.
Took
-110
Close
Phoenix -3
New to spreads and totals? The glossary explains every number on this page.
The bridge
Data validated. Strategy set.
The desk stops at the number. If you play, you play at lunaris.casino — that's where the ticket gets written. Nothing here is a sportsbook, and nothing here is financial advice.
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